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I try to cover a little bit of everything, but right now Politics holds my fancy.. Especially since the Rockies are playing so lousy at the moment.

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Tuesday, February 5, 2008

Super Tuesday finally.. will it resolve anything?

About the only thing I think that will be resolved after today's Super Tuesday voting, is that Mitt Romney invested $18M in a losing cause. I think Mike Huckabee will finally get the message that he doesn't have a snow ball chance in hades of winning outside of the South with his evangelical christian conservative base.

On the Democratic side I don't think we resolve much of anything. My projections on delegates based off the polls to date, show Obama closing the gap on Clinton, but neither one of them will even be half way to the 2,045 delegates needed to gain a first ballot nomination at the convention.

California, NY, Illinois, NJ, Mass, and Georgia are the big prizes in the Democratic primaries, with California's 441 delegates the biggest of the big. However, since the Dems use proportional vote allocation in the primaries even winning a state can cause you to lose in the delegates. After all is said and done, I still expect Obama and Clinton to be within 100 delegates of each other, and the campaign needing to go a whole lot farther than just today.

Regardless of who you are voting for this year, you can't deny the interest, and enthusiasm that the Democrats have infused into the election. In nearly every primary state to date, the Democrats have had record turn out compared to moderate if not lazy turn out for the Republicans.

It should be an interesting day all around, but don't expect to get a real handle on things until California comes in, and that could be late into the night. Those paper ballots are going to be a drag. )

For political junkies, it doesn't get any better than this.

1:10 PM: West Virgina gives it's 18 Republican Delegates to Mike Huckabee, guess you could call that drawing first blood :) What I don't understand about WV is they have 18 delegates tied to today's convention, but 9 tied to another state primary on May 13th, and of course the irresistable 3 unpledged RNC member delegates or Super delegates. So why have a caucus on Feb5th and then a Primary on May 13th? What was interesting is that the McCain supporters moved to Huckabee to block Romney winning. Ah the ole back room politics we have grown to watch and love :)

5:05PM: CNN has projected Obama the winner in Georgia on the Dems side with a close race on the GOP side. I'll never understand how they can call a race decided when they haven't even gotten 1% of the actual vote calculated.. But these talking heads are determined to be first :)

6:05PM: As soon as the East Coast states closed CNN projected Obama winning Illinois (surprise) and Clinton winning Oklahoma. They projected McCain to win NJ, CON, and Illinois, with Romney winning Massachusetts.

Well that is it for the evening up to the minute reporting :).. Going to sit back with the pop corn and comfy chair now and watch the rest.

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